From the Department of Quagmires
Could 2011 actually be the year that the allies begin their drawdown in Afghanistan? The steady increase in civilian casualties (a great majority of which still having been caused by the Taliban) has soured the population on the fighting more than ever, and just about every indicator of everyday life in the country has gotten worse, particularly with the Taliban ramping up Iraq-style terrorist attacks and assassinations.
McClatchey reported on the coming of spring and the return of the Afghan "
fighting season," and the picture is bleak for the allies' International Security Assistance Force (ISAF):
Every nationwide indicator shows that security has never been so bad, including those compiled by the United Nations and the Red Cross. The Afghan government itself is among those questioning ISAF's strategy. President Hamid Karzai declared this month that international troops must "stop their operations in our land."
No matter how hard the ISAF wants to pursue their objectives in the country, with a government actively telling them to stop fighting the Taliban (this is an astonishing statement, even from somebody as mercurial and self-destructive as Karzai), how much headway can they actually make?
Add to this the gruesome reality of what is being reported about the so-called "kill team" in the 3rd Platoon, 5th Stryker Brigade -- from habitual hash smoking to purposeful killings of unarmed civilians and then gleefully photographing the results (full story at
Rolling Stone here) -- and it's difficult to see how this all results in any measure of success.
Which doesn't mean that it's the right thing for the ISAF to pull out, leaving the country in the hands of Karzai's hapless and corrupt goons and the Taliban, a more toxic combination could hardly be imagined. But it does mean that the road to some version of stability for the Afghan people is getting rougher by the day.